Thursday, April 22, 2021

The Constitution, DC Statehood, and Bad-Faith Arguments

As the House passes a DC statehood bill, a conservative argument about its constitutionality has popped up everywhere. Here's one notable example from The Wall Street Journal:
The Framers provided in the Constitution’s Article I that Congress could, “by cession of particular states,” control a small area in which the federal government would operate. In 1790 part of the territories of Virginia and Maryland, two of the 13 states that ratified the Constitution, were delineated for federal control. Advocates of statehood brush aside the constitutional concerns and frame their cause as a simple question of democracy. [...] The statehood push is ultimately a power grab to change the Senate’s partisan composition—a procedural escalation that hasn’t been tried since states were admitted along partisan lines in the 19th century.
Yes, to some extent it's a power grab for Democrats—though it's rich to see Republicans clutch their pearls on that one. Still, DC has more residents than either Vermont and Wyoming, so the argument for representation is, on its face, reasonable.

The more dubious assumption with the constitutionality argument goes something like this: "It's right there in black and white, plain as day. We just need to follow the document."

OK. Let's look at the Article I, Section 8 text on DC's status:
To exercise exclusive legislation in all cases whatsoever, over such District (not exceeding ten miles square) as may, by cession of particular states, and the acceptance of Congress, become the seat of the government of the United States...
You might assume obvious unconstitutionality with DC's status, though not its becoming a state, but with its size. DC is 68.34 square miles, so we're already disobeying the constitutional 10 square mile requirement. 

Well, not exactly. "Ten miles square" refers to a square parcel of land, 10 miles on each side, or 100 square miles. That usage has since fallen out of favor, so the plain-English reading of 1788 isn't the same as 2021.

Also, this short exert is all the Constitution says on the matter. Therefore, legal scholars commonly look toward contemporary writings to fill in gaps. Here's how James Madison defends the clause in Federalist 43:
And as it is to be appropriated to this use with the consent of the State ceding it; as the State will no doubt provide in the compact for the rights and the consent of the citizens inhabiting it; as the inhabitants will find sufficient inducements of interest to become willing parties to the cession; as they will have had their voice in the election of the government which is to exercise authority over them; as a municipal legislature for local purposes, derived from their own suffrages, will of course be allowed them; and as the authority of the legislature of the State, and of the inhabitants of the ceded part of it, to concur in the cession, will be derived from the whole people of the State in their adoption of the Constitution, every imaginable objection seems to be obviated.
So easy to read. One could hardly argue with President Trump's Advisory 1776 Commission suggestion that "Civics and government classes should rely almost exclusively on primary sources." What ninth-grader couldn't follow this?

Kidding aside, I'm having trouble deciphering this with my Ph.D. in mass communication. Still, nearest I can figure, Madison assumed that residents of the ceded District would go along with the plan for various reasons, especially because they'd have some say regarding the government overseeing them. While that's been true at some municipal levels, Congress (with no voting members from DC) must still approve the District's budget—though in fairness, they rarely meddle.

My point in all this? The idea that there exists an infallible, plain-English reading of the Constitution is ridiculous. What phrases meant then vs. now and consideration of sources external do the Constitutional document, combined with ambiguous language and changing social contracts requires interpretive readings.

Lastly, even when constitutional provisions are generally clear, we have a long tradition of ignoring them when it suits us or just makes sense. Consider the term lengths of Senators from newly admitted states, described in Article I, Section 3:
The Senate of the United States shall be composed of two Senators from each state, chosen by the legislature thereof, for six years; and each Senator shall have one vote.

Immediately after they shall be assembled in consequence of the first election, they shall be divided as equally as may be into three classes. The seats of the Senators of the first class shall be vacated at the expiration of the second year, of the second class at the expiration of the fourth year, and of the third class at the expiration of the sixth year, so that one third may be chosen every second year.
So, when a state enters the Union, its allocated two senators who each serve six-year terms, after which re-elections are staggered such that one-third of the Senate remains up for re-election every two years.

In 1791, Vermont was the first state admitted following the original 13, and we just blatantly ignored this provision. Senators' initial terms were for periods fewer than six years to immediately coincide with the staggered election cycle.

The process has been the same for every state admitted since, and likely would be for DC should it too become a state. Somehow though, I doubt I'll see a column in the WSJ arguing that DC's new, likely Democratic senators should receive the full, extended terms as the Constitution requires.

But maybe that's the deeper problem. We frame constitutional debates as struggles between "constitutional originality" and "living document" approaches. Apart from that being a false dichotomy, most Americans don't reference the Constitution as a governing document or statement of principles so much as they use it as a cudgel when convenient to their own ends.

Friday, February 5, 2021

The Morality of Unity

cartoon by Benjamin Franklin 
Pennsylvania Gazette, May 9, 1754
The recent calls for unity among Republicans have exasperated liberals. Admittedly, it’s an odd gambit borne from the very same people who perpetuated divisiveness by participating in President Trump’s doomed attempt to block the counting of electoral votes.

However, looking past the irony—or blatant hypocrisy, depending on your perspective— reveals deeper moral and political failures taking place.

Many Republicans are attempting to cast unity as moral principle in and of itself. To be clear, it’s not, but the average American might be forgiven for assuming it is. After all, we are the United States of America, and we pride ourselves on our collective capacity to accomplish great things as a nation—or, as President Biden would put it, “there’s nothing we can’t do if we do it together.”

But these are statements about the efficacy of unity, not its ethicality. The Huns were no more or less united behind Atilla than the apostles were behind Christ. Both were relatively effective in achieving their goals, though we universally judge the latter as the moral exemplar.

The ethical value of unity lies in how a people are unified, the ends they achieve and the means by which they achieve them. So what are Republicans asking us to unify for and how are they going about it?

Here’s their pitch:

The Capitol riots were tragic and disturbing. The violence and lawlessness perpetrated do not reflect who we aspire to be. We have to find a way to peaceably move forward together.

I think most Americans would agree with that sentiment. Problematically, however, Republicans hope to achieve this unity in place of accountability, rather than in addition to it. To look productively toward the future requires honest reflection upon the past. Were Republicans to engage in such reflection, they could undertake good faith gestures to pursue the unification they claim to value, which would require at least acknowledging if not apologizing for the active role many took in sowing discord—particularly in perpetuating specious claims (or outright lies) about 2020 election fraud. They might even go a step further by at least conceding the legitimacy of the second Trump impeachment process now under way, even if they chose to vote for acquittal.

Instead, as these Republicans frame it, unity can only be achieved on their terms: The past is in the past. Best to forget about it—or better yet, pretend it didn’t happen—and move on.

Moreover, there’s a not-so-subtle blackmail at play. If Democrats don’t comply, Republicans will be forced to assume Democrats don’t value unity, and therefore they’ll have no choice but to adopt an obstructionist platform moving forward.

But of course that’s the point: To create a rationale for a position they’ve already decided to take for political expediency, but without moral justification. Republicans’ continued willingness to alter the rules of engagement and their ability to do so without consequence or reprimand inevitably results in democratic decay. If the only immutable rule is a Hobbesian one, that all one has is whatsoever one can obtain by any means necessary, then days like Jan. 6 won’t live in infamy. They’ll be just another Wednesday.

Thursday, January 14, 2021

What is Abortion Worth?

Pro-life demonstration in Washington, January 2018
Original Image from FamilyMan88 via WikiCommons 
No political issue is more poisonous than abortion, and not because of the deep divide that exists between the pro-choice and pro-life camps, but because of how that divide infects every other issue of import.

There’s an argument among conservatives that the U.S. is a center-right country. That may be an accurate description of our elected legislatures—and increasingly of the judiciary they appoint—but less so of the electorate itself. Through a series of constitutional quirks that inhibit equal ideological representation, the U.S. has become a center-left country ruled by right-leaning officials. 

For some issues, abortion among them, the electorate is far more liberal than the legislature and the judiciary, particularly once Amy Coney Barrett was elevated to the Supreme Court.

According to public opinion polling by Pew, 61% of American believe abortion should be legal in all or most cases, compared to 38% who believe the practice should be illegal. As one might expect, the majority of Democrats (82%) lean toward legalized abortion, while most Republicans (62%) disagree. 

Looking at the issue through the lens of religion, the biggest push for reversing Roe v. Wade comes from White evangelicals and Catholics: 77% and 44%, respectively, believe abortion should be illegal in all or most cases.

I think it’s worth acknowledging here that I cannot in good conscience begrudge someone of their pro-life belief, though I may disagree with it. My views align with Caitlin Flanagan, who in a  December 2019 article for The Atlantic spoke directly to the dishonestly of the abortion debate: “The truth is that the best argument on each side is a damn good one, and until you acknowledge that fact, you aren’t speaking or even thinking honestly about the issue.”

More troubling than the divide is that we’ve stopped debating. The above numbers on abortion support/opposition are from 2019. What’s stunning is how similar the 2019 data are to 1995, in which 60% were pro-choice and 38% pro-life.

Over a quarter century the needle hasn’t moved. In that time, the pro-life contingency—conservative Christians in particular—have largely given up on arguing for the virtue of their values and instead shifted to a strategy of foisting them upon others. The aim is no longer to convince, but to coerce.

The timeline tracks with the larger Republican trend of abandoning any meaningful legislative agenda. In the mid-1990s, Speaker Newt Gingrich embraced the political power of obstructionism. During his tenure as majority leader, Mitch McConnell perfected it.

Abortion has been key in allowing Republicans to maintain power while legislatively accomplishing very little. In effect, the Republican Party has made conservative Christians their useful idiots by playing to staunch pro-lifers’ voting patterns.

Pew polls voters on issues most important to them. In the run-up to the 2020 election, the economy and health care topped the list, with 79% and 68% of Americans describing these as top concerns. Abortion came in at No. 12, with just 40% of registered voters viewing the issue as “very important.”

However, abortion has outsized weight in the voting booth. According to Gallup, 30% of pro-life voters will only support a candidate who shares their views on abortion. So, for a sizable minority of the electorate, abortion isn’t an issue: It’s the only issue. 

So long as Republican cater to single-issue, pro-life voters through legal challenges and judicial appointments, a substantial portion of their base is locked in. Republicans can then carry on enacting an agenda divorced from the concerns of not only the majority of the electorate, but likely from the majority of pro-lifers as well.

Consider again those top issues for American voters. The cornerstone of every Republican economic plan since Reagan has been tax cuts. Recently, it’s become their only economic plan. And it doesn’t work.

Health care has been met with similar vitriol. Republicans are obsessed with repealing Obama’s signature achievement, the increasingly popular Affordable Care Act, without offering a replacement plan.

Under Trump, the Republican foreign policy playbook has essentially been reverse-Obama as well. Kill the TPP. Withdraw from the Paris Climate Accord. Cancel the Iran Nuclear Deal. Ignore or downplay foreign election interference. 

On key issues like climate change, immigration reform, gun safety and racial justice, the Republicans have offered few if any substantial plans. And in the midst of a pandemic crisis, they steered stimulus talks toward gridlock by refusing for months to take up the HEROES Act for debate and revision.

It's worth noting here that the abortion rate has been in steady decline since 1980, with increased access to contraception playing a major factor. The great irony is that blue states have led the way in expanding contraception, and by proxy reducing abortion numbers, only to see Republicans rewarded for the effort. 

Of the single-issue, pro-life voters, I would ask, “What is abortion worth to you?” Based on their voting behavior, there’s only one honest answer: “Everything.”

Seems a mighty steep price. 

Wednesday, March 18, 2020

Coronavirus and the Generational Blame Game

Out of coercion, fear, genuine concernor more likely a combination of the threemany Americans have hunkered down to combat the coronavirus outbreak. We talk endlessly about social distancing, but resonating within those conversations is the oft-unspoken social contract. Generally, the social contract stipulates we should cooperate with one another, sometimes sacrificing personal freedoms or benefits for the well-being and safety of the collective.

Or so the theory goes at least.

I say this because there's concern that many Americans aren't taking the threat seriously. A recent NPR/PBS/Marist poll found that only 56% of us view the coronavirus as a "real threat," which astonishingly represents a 10-point drop from where that number was a month ago.

Meanwhile, there's a palpable sense of frustration among government officials and media reporters regarding this cavalier attitude. Last night on CNN, Jake Tapper appeared visibly outraged, and understandably so. This monologue in particular caught my ear:
And look, I mean, my dad is turning 80 this month, you know. People out there who are millennials or younger and thinking, "Well, if you're 80 years old, you knowit only affects people who are in there 70s and 80s." Which isn't true, although obviously the people in their 60s, 70s, and 80s are most vulnerable to it. But what are you saying? That my 80-year-old dad, therefore, is fair game? I mean, the selfishness of people who are not taking this seriously is just maddening. And I get some people just don't understand it, but what bothers me is the people who just think, "Well I'm young. I'm not gonna die from it." First of all, not necessarily true. Second of all, you could get really, really sick, and you could be injured for the rest of your life with, like, scarred lungs. And third of all, who the hell are you to be walking around, just giving this to old people, and you're just flippantly dismissing it?
On the whole, I agree. But I do object to the notion that he and others I've seen across various media outlets laying this albatross across the necks of younger generations as if this isn't a widespread problem.

That NPR/PBS/Marist poll illustrates this point plainly when you dive into the question-by-question data. The key question NPR highlights in its article is this: "Do you think the coronavirus is a real threat or blown out of proportion?" Again, 56% list say yes, it is a real threat, while 38% feel it's blown out of proportion. Moreover, the generational breakdown follows the blame-the-young narrative: 57% of baby boomers view coronavirus as a real threat, while only 51% of millennials/Gen Z do.

Similarly, the poll asks how concerned people are about the spread of the virus in their communities. Overall, 70% express concern. Among boomers that number is 74%, but among millennials/Gen Z it's only 63%, which is one hell of a drop off.

What's interesting to me, however, are the questions that ask about mitigation behaviors. So for instance, "Have you, yourself, or someone in your household experienced any of the following because of the coronavirus:"



All adults
Baby Boomers
Millennials/ Gen Z
Decided to eat at home more often?
46%
44%
49%
Stocked up on food or supplies?
42%
38%
47%
Changed travel plans?
30%
29%
35%
Cancelled plans to avoid crowds?
48%
48%
54%
Changed your work routine?*
33%
25%
40%
*This question excluded retirees. It also separated age groups as under or over 45.


At first I thought these difference might be explained by other factors. For instance, millennials do dine out more frequently than boomers, but boomers on average visit restaurants at least weeklyand they almost always dine in. Perhaps boomers travel less frequently? Not really. According to AARP, boomers average 4-5 trips annually while millennials are on par with about 5 trips a year.

My takeaway is that in comparison to millennials/Gen Z, baby boomers tend to view coronavirus as a greater threat, but despite their increased level of concern, they appear less willing than younger generations to make changes in their routines that would mitigate its spread. While it's certainly true that many young people are ignoring the warning signs, the ones paying attention are taking action. I'm not sure we can say the same for boomers.

Friday, January 25, 2019

When is a Wall not a Wall?

Never has something so concrete as a wall been so abstract. The Wall isn't about a wall. It's a racist dog whistle cranked to 11, intended to stoke fear where there should be calm, inject simplicity where there should be nuance, and elevate political expediency over policy expertise, all to fulfill a campaign promise (except for the Mexico paying part) that should never have been made.

Clearly, I'm not a fan of the Wall, but my view has more to do with the action and rhetoric surrounding its construction than the feasibility of the project itself. To be sure, it's a bad idea, for a number of reasons you've likely heard already:

1.) It won't meaningfully address illegal immigration. The number of illegal border crossings at the Southern border has steadily declined over the past 20 years. Moreover, the majority of new illegal residents (~65%) are from visa overstays, meaning they legally entered the U.S. and just didn't leave.

2.) It won't diminish crime. Immigrants, both legal and illegal, are less apt to commit crimes than native born citizens. This fact is so widely established that the conservative CATO Institute agrees: "All immigrants are less likely to be incarcerated than natives relative to their share of the population." It's also worth noting that overall U.S. crime rates more have markedly decreased over the past 25 years, so we're safer now than we have been in decades.

3.) It won't solve any drug problem. The vast majority (80% or more) of illegal drugs entering he U.S. are smuggled through legal ports of entry, not hauled across the desert by kids "who weigh 130 pounds [with] calves the size of cantaloupes" as Rep. Steve King would have you believe.

4.) It won't combat terrorism. Terrorists do not illegally enter the U.S. Again, according to the CATO Institute, since 1975, there have been zero deaths or injuries from terrorist attacks at the hands of illegal entrants. In that 40+ year span, only seven illegal immigrants were arrested and convicted of plotting terrorist actions, and all seven entered either by sea or across the Canadian border.

5.) It won't be cheap. Mexico clearly isn't paying, and $5.7 billion won't cover it. In truth, it's hard to estimate the cost of the Wall because the size/length/material that Trump pitches changes so often. The Department of Homeland Security estimates a three-year construction project totaling $21.6 billionThe cost of maintaining and patrolling such a large structure would add to the price tag.

6.) It won't be easy. The federal government doesn't own much of the land across the border. Trump would need to invoke eminent domain to attain the land, which of course taxpayers would have to pay for. Additionally, those who own that land aren't keen on giving it up, so we could expect several lengthy and costly court battles.

7.) It won't effect our sovereignty. While there are numerous examples of nation-states constructing border walls throughout history (North/South Korea, East/West Germany, China, Jericho, etc.), they clearly aren't required to establish sovereignty. Were that the case, we'd need the Wall 2.0 on the Northern border as well. Moreover, because a nation wishing to erect a wall must do so on its own land, we'd effectively be ceding land to Mexico by building the Wall.
 
8.) It won't be environmentally sound. This one's rarely reported, but a wall creates several ecological problems, from increased green house gas emissions to blocked migratory pathways for wildlife.

9.) It won't be popular. Recent polling from Pew shows more Americans oppose building the Wall (58%) than support it (40%). Moreover, the representatives from all nine Congressional districts along the Southern border oppose the Wall as well.

So the Wall is a stupid idea. And that's not a simply a liberals-hate-Trump position. Most of the supporting data I presented comes from government agencies who deal directly with border crossings and track the criminal activities (or lack there of) of these individuals once they arrive. Even conservative think tanks have essentially called the president a liar, consistently refuting his false pretenses for building the Wall.

Because most Americans aren't buying this particular con job, several in the administration have turned to a form of whataboutism, citing Democratic support for the Secure Fence Act of 2006, conveniently ignoring that it was seen by many Democrats as an acceptable compromise against other proposals that would have, among other things, made illegal immigration a felony offense rather than a misdemeanor.

Such comparisons also propagate the political lunacy of demanding that no one ever change his or her mind about anything, ever, no matter what. When I was 7, I believed in Santa Claus. I didn't double down on that belief at 20, waiting for a fat, bearded stranger to slide down the chimney on Dec. 24. I acquired new information and altered my view accordingly. For some reason, that's unforgivable in politics.

And sure, many would say the Democrats position change isn't one of heart but of political calculation. There's certainly some pandering going on regarding the Hispanic vote, but at least that position is factually defensible. Is the Republican position somehow more noble because its consistent with the party's recent past, even though its based on falsehoods?

So President Trump, and the Republican Party by extension, continues to make inaccurate claims, which often demonize an entire swath of people, all to spend money on an infrastructure project that won't solve any of our nation's problems, in part because many of those problems don't exist.

And for the serious questions that remain about immigrationits value to our nation, our capacity to absorb incoming residents, who those individuals should be, how we can treat them humanely, and whether we should offer a path to citizenship—have been completely eclipsed. Now the whole "debate" boils down to Wall vs. Open Borders, a position most people don't want vs. one that no one is advocating.

To compound the issue, Trump chose to paperclip funding the federal government to his demands for the Wall. Shutdowns are never good, in part because they're costly, both to the taxpayer and the federal worker, though the political damage Trump and his party faced was likely the deciding factor on today's ceasefire

The bigger picture problem with shutdowns, however, is that it ups the political and fiscal ante by putting unrelated items on the table. Whatever our disagreements, we should at least be able to keep the lights on, if for no other reason than its hard to continue good faith negotiations in the dark.

For now, the question looms as to what Trump will do next. When Trump refused to avoid the shutdown in the first place, snubbing the then Republican controlled legislature, he essentially made his position Wall or bust. The Democrats, riding the wave of their midterm victory, aren't going to hand Trump a political win without getting something significant in return, especially considering how unpopular Trump and his Wall currently are. Stephen Colbert arguably said it best: "Clearly, Trump has painted himself into a corner, which isn't easy when your office is oval."

So it looks like Trump's only exit is to break a serious norm and declare a national emergency, where one obviously doesn't exist, so he can build the Wall and save face. Such a move would almost certainly be challenged in court, and to make the situation even stranger, the best outcome for everyone would be for the courts to rule against the Wall, that way the Democrats can claim a victory and Trump can cry foul and continue calling for a wall he doesn't really give a damn about to appease a political base he's equally vested in.